With sales activity stuck in neutral through the first four months of the year, there’s not much to suggest that the 2025 housing market will be vastly improved from 2023 or 2024. But mortgage leaders and economists are expressing cautious optimism even as the cost of a home loan remains higher than Americans would like.

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United Wholesale Mortgage (UWM), the largest originator in America, produced $32.4 billion in mortgages in the first quarter of 2025, capitalizing on a brief decline in interest rates that spurred a wave of refinance activity. This production volume represents a 17% increase compared to the same period last year, and UWM expects even stronger results in the current quarter. 

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